ALPNAISWISS INTERNATIONAL
BUSINESS LAB · SCENARIOS

Understand what each sale could leave.

Adjust volumes and costs to examine a scenario. This calculation does not forecast ALPNAI sales or traffic and does not change any prices.

Evidence API pilot · data micro-purchases

Amounts in USD; assumes 1 USDC = 1 USD. Taxes, bank and currency-conversion fees, initial investment and acquisition costs are excluded. The incident reserve is a cost assumption, not an observed expense.

Your monthly assumptions

Limits : 0–10,000,000 · whole number
Limits : 0–1,000 · whole number
Limits : 0–1,000
Limits : 0–100
Limits : 0–1,000,000
Limits : 0–744
Limits : 0–10,000

PayAI: up to 1,000 free lifetime settlements per wallet, then USD 0.001 per settlement. A shared pool can reduce availability. Default: no assumed allowance. Above the allowance, a merchant account, credits and authentication are required.

Official PayAI pricingChecked 14 September 2026
Working mix, to validate through sales
Snapshot · 70 %0.01 USDC
Change Set · 25 %0.05 USDC
Evidence Pack · 5 %0.25 USDC
Weighted average price0.032 USD

This mix assumes a distribution across the pilot’s three offers. The average amount is not a new selling price.

This month’s result

Simulated revenue
320.00 USD
Estimated delivery
-8.50 USD
PayAI fees
-10.00 USD
Incident reserve
-6.40 USD
Fixed costs
-250.00 USD
Balance before valuing time
45.10 USD
Value of supervision time
-400.00 USD

Economic balance after time

-354.90 USD

After the entered costs, before the exclusions above. This balance does not represent money available in a bank account.

Recurring break-even after valuing time

22,027 settled purchases / month

Calculated without a free allowance: it does not renew monthly. This threshold omits the excluded costs.

An allowance that runs down, not a monthly discount

Identical volume and costs for three months. Only unused free settlements carry forward. This table illustrates the calculation; it is not a forecast.

MonthFree settlements usedAllowance left after monthPayAI cost · USDBalance after time · USD
10010-354.9
20010-354.9
30010-354.9

A sale on day one: explore the conditions

Limits : 0–1,000,000 · whole number
Limits : 0–100 %

Mathematical probability of at least one sale

634 / 1,000

Formula: 1 − (1 − conversion rate)ⁿ. It assumes independent opportunities and operational payments. Inputs are not observed visits or sales; the result is not ALPNAI’s current probability.

What volume would a revenue target require?

Monthly target · USDPurchases at the assumed mixPrincipals at 250 purchases / month
1,00031,250125
10,000312,5001,250
100,0003,125,00012,500

Counts are rounded up to whole numbers. 250 purchases per principal is an assumption; one principal may own several agents. A rare IPO event does not establish recurring demand.

Check assumptions against your data

The current tools examine the traces you supply. They do not automatically connect to your accounts or demonstrate commercial demand.

Before increasing volume

Measure successful payments, complete costs, distinct principals and repeat purchases. An initial validation goal could be 10 paying principals, with 3 returning within 30 days. This is a decision criterion; no result is presented as already achieved.